Tropical Storm Michael could form late Sunday, hit the US midweek

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Enjoy the pleasant conditions Sunday as we're expecting a wet and unsettled week ahead with a tropical cyclone in the Gulf of Mexico by Monday.

Maximum sustained winds were at 35 miles per hour at 5 a.m. and the depression was moving north-northwest at 3 miles per hour.

This disturbance will continue to bring torrential rains to portions of Belize, the Yucatan peninsula, and western Cuba into next week. Right now the National Hurricane Center's forecast path keeps it east of Louisiana with a landfall around Destin, Florida on Wednesday. So far, it is forecast to make landfall somewhere between the MS coast and the Big Bend in Florida.

There is high uncertainty about the possible intensity of the system, but it is likely that the complex will drag tropical moisture across Florida.

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A shallow but moderate 5.9 quake struck early this morning, around 40 kilometres off Sumba, an island of some 750,000 people. For now, many people are having to sleep on the street with limited access to food or vital medications, the BBC reports .

Leslie continues to produce rip currents and large swells across the United States east coast, including Florida.

By Monday morning, almost the entire central US will see very heavy rain and possible strong storms. The title of PTC 14 allows the National Hurricane Center to issue a forecast cone and advisories even though the disturbance hasn't reached tropical storm strength yet.

The NHC had the Grand Strand sitting at a 5-10 percent chance of receiving tropical-storm-force winds from the storm. Beginning Monday and continuing through Thursday, the chance of showers jumps up to 60 to 70 percent.

Hurricane season started June 1 and continues through November 30.

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